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General => Lobby => Topic started by: Mr. Analog on August 28, 2014, 10:54:17 AM

Title: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Mr. Analog on August 28, 2014, 10:54:17 AM
The sad thing is I can believe it, I remember thinking back in spring that I wouldn't be surprised if there was a full scale invasion happened in the summer, and now it has
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Darren Dirt on August 28, 2014, 11:46:30 AM
The 24-hours-a-day media industry likes to jump on anything that hints at anything, and often amplify a rumor into a fact.

At the present time is it a definite fact, or just a "things are looking that way"?

Because a lot of the comments here (for example) say the "evidence*" is less than crystal clear....
http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/ukraine-crisis-russian-tanks-enter-ukraine-fire-missiles-at-border-post-1.2749066


PsyOps: the cheapest way to battle your enemy! (let the media do the fearmongering for you!)   ::)

(hopefully that's all this is... at the present time)




*evidence claimed by NATO, found @ http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/photos_112112.htm

Heck, even CNN is asking questions instead of reporting factual news:
"Is Russia opening up a new front in Ukraine?" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ctpcrxT1Lu0) (Youtube)


And even if kinda-factual...

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/europe/Russian-troops-have-invaded-our-country-Ukrainian-President-Petro-Poroshenko-says/articleshow/41110936.cms
^ "voluntarily and not on Moscow's orders" ^ is a lot different than "Putin is moving in and taking over more of Ukraine". Thankfully.

Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Mr. Analog on August 28, 2014, 12:09:27 PM
I've seen some comments questioning this as well when the news first broke, but the sources indicating non-involvement are Russian propaganda sites, I've also seen a lot of pro-Russia propaganda pop up in forums leading up to yesterday, users who say nearly the same thing and don't have long comment histories. Now there are a lot more sources covering it as it happens. Also, I kind of like to think of outright invasion as something beyond "slow news day so fan the flames" it's been an ongoing action this summer with civilian casualties already.

More articles (with pictures):

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28961080

http://news.yahoo.com/kiev-reports-movement-tanks-heavy-weapons-russia-105057667.html

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/11062196/Markets-take-fright-as-Russian-tanks-roll-into-Ukraine.html
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on August 28, 2014, 12:26:45 PM
I've been following the Ukrainian crisis since I first learned about the Euromaidan through the Lowetide.ca hockey blog.

The first thing I'll say that I've noticed is that there are clearly people being paid by the Russian government to post comments on various websites absolutely smearing the Ukrainian government.  Not only do I see hundreds and thousands of posts with the same talking points, but there was an email leaked from within the Russian government showing the pay structure people would get for posting these comments.

Secondly, when Russia invaded the Crimean portion of Ukraine all of the Russians were insisting they had no hand in it, that it was all local volunteers.  Until annexation was complete and secure, at which Putin admitted on Russian state television that, "of course we had Russian soldiers standing behind the volunteers to help keep the peace".

So, because of the former I tend to believe Western news agencies more than Russian ones, and because of the latter I believe that Russia already had soldiers in the eastern portion of Ukraine months ago.

Keep in mind that these "self-organized local volunteers" in eastern Ukraine have (had?) Russian leaders (the self-proclaimed president, top commanders in the rebel armies are Russian nationals which even Russia has admitted), have highly sophisticated military weaponry at their disposal, and somehow appear to have magically learned how to accurately target it.

Recent indications that Russia has indeed invaded and is siding with the rebels:
* border guards have been forced to flee their posts due to attacks from the Russian side of the border - for instance the helicopter attacks that were reported by Reuters a couple of days ago
* well-trained Russian soldiers claim to have "stumbled into Ukraine by accident"; these were paratroopers so not your run of the mill infantry grunt, and they were not a few meters across the border, they were 20km+ across the border when they were caught
* aid convoy crossed the border with partially-filled trucks that they let reporters look into beforehand, then returned "empty" but refused to let reporters look again
* the new Ukrainian rebel leader claims 3,000+ Russian troops have fought on his side
* the Russian presidential human rights council has said 100 troops have died helping rebels fight Ukrainian troops

Especially that last one, that's a piece of the Russian government that is very close to Putin, so he knows what they're going to say and when, and he's allowing them to say it so that on Russian state television he can continue to villify Ukraine's government as "monsters" and "barbarians" who kill good Russian boys when they're just trying to help non-Russian Russians (that is people of Russian ancestry that have been living in Ukraine all their life).

Quote from: Darren Dirt on August 28, 2014, 11:46:30 AM
Heck, even CNN is asking questions instead of reporting factual news:
"Is Russia opening up a new front in Ukraine?" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ctpcrxT1Lu0) (Youtube)

Don't know where you've been the last ten or fifteen years, but CNN has been asking questions instead of reporting factual news for ages.  To the point where Jon Stewart has stopped making fun of them for it because it's older than his Dubya jokes.
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Tom on August 28, 2014, 12:28:12 PM
Quote"voluntarily and not on Moscow's orders" ^ is a lot different than "Putin is moving in and taking over more of Ukraine". Thankfully.
Not with putin. If it's allowed without his fist coming down hard, its implicit support. Heck, maybe he /suggested/ it to a few military guys, or it was suggested to him, then things filtered down, and he's just not stopping it. Same diff if you ask me.
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on August 28, 2014, 12:48:40 PM
Russia will claim that these soldiers are "volunteering" because it gives President Putin a chance to back out and save face if things go wrong.

When the appear-to-be-paid-Russian-shills started posting about Ukraine's government being fascist (funny how they all started doing it at the same time, eh), I went back and re-read what Fascism really is.  Basically, it's state-centered authoritarian government that is willing and able to sacrifice any of its citizens to further the ambitions of said government.  This describes Russia's current government pretty well, doesn't it?

I also remember when the shills started going on about how the US invaded Iraq and how come they're allowed to do that but the world isn't okay with Russia annexing Crimea.  There's a key difference here, though - the US made a public statement that if X didn't happen by Y, then their military would roll in.  This made it abundantly clear that they would be invading.  Russia, on the other hand, quietly told their soldiers to mask or remove all identifying marks, to take over all positions of strength, and to claim it was local volunteers who did it.

That difference, to me, is like standing in front of a person with a knife and telling them you're going to stab them if they don't back off, vs sneaking up behind them and stabbing them between the ribs, then claiming their wife did it.
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Darren Dirt on August 28, 2014, 01:07:18 PM
Черт возьми, плохая новость для моей perogy изобретать родине ...
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Mr. Analog on August 28, 2014, 01:12:48 PM
That's for sure...
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Lazybones on August 28, 2014, 01:59:37 PM
At the same time they are working on that whole antarctic claim
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on August 28, 2014, 02:12:16 PM
And there's subs under the ice within Canada's sovereign claim in the north
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Tom on August 28, 2014, 02:17:37 PM
The US, and some european country is staking claims up there too. It pisses me off. It's been ours for a long time.
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on August 28, 2014, 02:21:40 PM
So here's an account that I would hold beyond reproach - the mothers of the soldiers who are "not in Ukraine", or if they are then "volunteered":

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/08/28/russian-moms-denounce-putin-s-not-so-secret-ukraine-invasion.html

Read that article carefully.  Russia has a draft, not a volunteer army.  The drafted soldiers are being forced to fight in Ukraine.  The drafted soldiers are being forced to sign papers saying they're volunteering.  The mothers of the soldiers are part of a giant organization, and that organization has counted and figures there's 10,000 Russian troops in Ukraine.  Meanwhile, Russia's government is still denying that they have any troops in Ukraine.

As for the north, Denmark (via Greenland) and Norway have territories in the Arctic circle.  Canada and Russia have the two biggest claims, then I think it's the US and then Denmark?  I'd have to fact-check that.
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Tom on August 28, 2014, 03:32:49 PM
Some articles:

"U.S. official says 1,000 Russian troops have entered Ukraine"
http://www.cnn.com/2014/08/28/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/index.html

Though the U.S. (and canada for that matter) have been a little one sided...

http://usnato.tumblr.com/post/96003086125/new-satellite-imagery-exposes-russian-combat-troops

https://twitter.com/CanadaNATO/status/504651534198927361
QuoteGeography can be tough. Here?s a guide for Russian soldiers who keep getting lost & ?accidentally? entering #Ukraine
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BwDh5TICcAAaIiz.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on August 28, 2014, 04:59:53 PM
How many other countries can you name on that map?
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Mr. Analog on August 28, 2014, 05:11:38 PM
Poland, Belarus, Slovakia, Hungary, Czech Republic, Germany and Finland?
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Lazybones on August 28, 2014, 05:43:05 PM
They apparently forgot to label Kaliningrad
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on August 29, 2014, 01:17:09 AM
Sharp-eyed analysts have spotted tanks that can only be Russian in video footage shot in Ukraine.  Why can they only be Russian?  Because they have special reactive armour that Russia has never exported to another country: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28961080

Also, it turns out Russia had a large number of older tanks still in storage, similar to the ones Ukraine has but painted in a different pattern.  Analysts are now saying some or all of the rebels' tanks most likely came from Russia: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-27849437

Thirdly, Russian media is now starting to report that Russia is attacking and / or invading Ukraine, although they're not yet calling it war: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28965597

I still think the most moving piece of information was what the Russian soldiers' mothers are saying in Russia, which I linked to earlier.

What sucks is that Putin will continue his invasion regardless of what others think until he is forcefully stopped.  And sanctions probably won't forcefully stop him, so that means some kind of military resistance to his troops.  Hmm, maybe the Vella Gulf and its sister ships will get into it soon?  The Vella Gulf is an American cruise missile destroyer that just recently travelled through the Black Sea (where Crimea is) to dock in Georgia, which is a sovereign country just south of Russia, near Ukraine, and which has also had part of its country invaded and annexed by Russia.
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on August 31, 2014, 09:34:40 PM
This is a satire site for the US military that I just came across today.  I find it hilarious, although once you get to the comments you realize a lot of people don't understand satire...

"Russia Claims Ukrainian Border Inexplicably Jumped Over Its Paratroopers (http://www.duffelblog.com/2014/08/russian-soldiers-ukraine/)"

Darren, I think you'll get a kick out of it :)
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Darren Dirt on September 03, 2014, 01:19:17 PM
"The Duffel Blog is an American military news satire organization featuring satirical articles reporting on US military news. It is often described as 'the military version of The Onion.'"

nice find!

also, >>>TIMESINK WARNING<<< because PLENTY O CONTENT:
http://www.duffelblog.com/
(I tried scrolling to the bottom to click one of the "About Us" type of links, but almost immediately MORE STORIES appeared all Tumblr-like... even doing it super-fast by holding down CTRL+END* for the last 2 minutes there's still TONS of more stories that keep coming up! But tbh it's actually kinda surreal/awesome glancing at the headlines as it is like slowly going back in time and reliving the current events of months and years gone past...)


*hitting SHIFT-TAB a bunch of times works though, since eventually the link in focus wraps around from the top of the page back to the bottom ;) [or even simpler: clicking "MORE +" opens up all the other typical links that websites used to have less hidden, DAMN YOU MOBILE-FRIENDLY WEB 3.0! But found it eventually... http://www.duffelblog.com/about



PS: This DuffelBlog article (http://www.duffelblog.com/2014/09/isis-vladimir-putin-oped/) mentions "Novorussia" (i.e. the new parts of Russia that were "formerly known as being part of eastern Ukraine") ...

Thought it was satire, turns out Nope That's A Real Thing(!) http://www.businessinsider.com/maps-of-novorussia-and-old-russian-empire-2014-4
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Thorin on September 19, 2014, 03:53:23 PM
Part of the overall activities to do with Russia invading Ukraine is the Russian government vehemently denying they have any troops in Ukraine (and of course that they now consider Crimea as part of Russia so the troops there don't count according to the Russians).  Many Western-owned media outlets (is it still Western if it's based in Australia, way to the east of Russia?  I guess it's just a moniker for the media outlets we typically see in European / North American / English-speaking countries) have pointed out the lies, and the Russian government seems to have gone on the offensive, spreading lies and innuendo far and wide in their own country through their state-owned and fear-controlled media.

Now I understand the propaganda war about Ukraine, but I don't understand how quickly this phenomenon is spreading to all other types of news.  Case in point, a bright fireball was reported by several dozen people in the US.  At first this was reported to be part of a meteor shower, but then experts weighed in and said that it burned a lot longer than a meteor would have, and was most likely one or more pieces of a Russian spy satellite burning up on re-entry.  The US army believed this to be true, and removed that particular spy satellite from their list of satellites orbiting Earth.

So how did the Russian government spin this?  They suggested the American skywatchers were intoxicated or high or under some other influence, and that it clearly wasn't a Russian satellite: http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/09/17/u-s-experts-say-a-russian-spy-satellite-was-spotted-in-night-sky-but-russia-questions-what-condition-the-stargazers-were-in/

Huh?  What do you stand to gain from not claiming the wreckage as yours?  I'm pretty sure that the international rules say that if someone else's satellite debris lands on your country, you have to give it back as soon as feasible...

This is almost as absurd as the North Korean government telling their people that Americans sleep in the gutters, eat rats and other humans to survive, and wish they had it as good as the North Korean farmers.
Title: Re: Russia invades Ukraine
Post by: Lazybones on September 19, 2014, 07:47:19 PM
Apparently they are buzzing our northern boarder and Alaska with fighter jets as well.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/us-canadian-jets-intercept-8-russian-aircraft/2014/09/19/2c7e56ba-4055-11e4-a430-b82a3e67b762_story.html